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中國(guó)考登鋼管製造業處在一個過度投資(zī)的狀態

發布(bù)時(shí)間:2019-02-14人氣(qì):166

中國考登鋼管製造業已(yǐ)經處在一個過度(dù)投資的狀態,其中存在(zài)著大量的低效(xiào)率和無效率投資。舉個例(lì)子,比如說無縫管(guǎn)行業,市場容量一年大概6億噸左右,但是產能已經到了9億噸,現(xiàn)在三分之一的(de)鋼鐵產能過剩。今年一季度16Mn考登鋼管產品是全行業虧損,原因在(zài)於過度競爭。而且(qiě)現在的問題不光出在(zài)傳統產(chǎn)業(yè),像新能源領域,比如說(shuō)太陽能、比如說風電(diàn),都已(yǐ)經出現了大量的(de)產能過剩。就連一些新興的高科技產業領域也(yě)都(dōu)出現了同樣(yàng)的現象。

China's Kauden steel pipe manufacturing industry has been in a state of over-investment, in which there are a large number of inefficient and inefficient investment. For example, in the seamless pipe industry, the market capacity is about 600 million tons a year, but the production capacity has reached 900 million tons, and now one third of the steel production capacity is excessive. In the first quarter of this year, 16Mn Corden Steel Tube products lost money in the whole industry due to excessive competition. And now the problem is not only in traditional industries, such as new energy, such as solar energy, such as wind power, but also in excess capacity. Even some new high-tech industries have the same phenomenon.

另(lìng)外,我國今年的GDP增速在急劇下降,一季度大概是8.1%。接下來看,由於出口放慢,由於(yú)投資方麵已經造成了大量的投資過(guò)剩、投(tóu)資空間在逐漸收窄,再加上控製房價對房地產業的影響,所以整個投(tóu)資形勢也不樂觀。在這樣的條件下,我國的經(jīng)濟結構是過度依(yī)賴投資和出(chū)口,而(ér)現在(zài)出口上不去,投資也上不去,就必然對經濟增長提出一個嚴重的挑戰。

In addition, China's GDP growth rate is declining sharply this year, about 8.1% in the first quarter. Next, the overall investment situation is not optimistic because of the slowdown in exports, the excess investment caused by investment, the narrowing of investment space, and the impact of controlling house prices on the real estate industry. Under such conditions, China's economic structure is excessively dependent on investment and exports, and now exports can not go up, investment can not go up, it is bound to pose a serious challenge to economic growth.

中國製造業麵臨的一個迫切的任務就是調整結(jié)構。改善(shàn)我們現在的結構,把過高的儲蓄率、過高的投資率,轉變到一個消費適度的可持(chí)續的增長方向上來,至少(shǎo)是消費需要和GDP同步(bù)增長這(zhè)樣一個軌道(dào)上來。否則的話,未來經濟下降是可以預期的。結(jié)構調整可能涉(shè)及到一係列(liè)問題,並(bìng)不簡單是一個刺激消費的問題。背後主要是收入分配(pèi)狀況的問題,同時涉(shè)及到現行(háng)的財政體製、稅收體製、金融體製等一(yī)係列體製方麵的問題。

An urgent task facing China's manufacturing industry is to adjust its structure. To improve our present structure, we should transform the excessive savings rate and investment rate into a moderately sustainable growth direction of consumption, at least on the track of simultaneous growth of consumption demand and GDP. Otherwise, the future economic decline can be expected. Structural adjustment may involve a series of problems, not simply a problem of stimulating consumption. Behind it is mainly the problem of income distribution, and at the same time, it involves a series of institutional problems such as the current financial system, tax system, financial system and so on. 

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